三级aa视频在线观看-三级国产-三级国产精品一区二区-三级国产三级在线-三级国产在线

USEUROPEAFRICAASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
China
Home / China / Business

Experts: Positive signs in property, manufacturing

China Daily | Updated: 2017-07-21 09:02

Editor's Note: China's gross domestic product expanded at a rate of 6.9 percent in the first half of this year. In a series of interviews, China Daily asked economists, analysts and business leaders about the prospects for economic growth in the country.

Q1: What are the most encouraging signs in the Chinese economy in the first half of 2017? What impressed you the most about the macroeconomic data currently available?

Q2: Based on your research or business operations, what are your comments and projections regarding the Chinese economy's growth prospects in the second half of this year?

Q3: What will be the most supportive factors bolstering China's growth this year? What are the most severe challenges currently facing the Chinese economy?

Q4: What are your suggestions regarding how China can achieve stable, balanced and sustainable economic growth in the years ahead?

Zhang Zhiwei, chief China economist at Deutsche Bank

A1: The most important signal is the rebound in the property sector. This strong performance in the property market is consistent with the signals we noticed in the land market. In particular land auctions in third-tier cities rose strongly in June. It seems market expectations for property and land became more optimistic in June.

There are clear signals that the authorities are taking measures to support financial stability and further enhance regulation coordination. The government aims to effectively manage financial risks without sacrificing growth. So far this year the government has indeed managed to deleverage the financial sector without damaging the economy. The government recognized the risk of high leverage in the financial sector and took action to address such risks. We noticed the banking sector cut credit to non-bank financial institutions. This tightening of financial regulation is necessary to maintain financial stability.

A2: Based on a matrix of key indicators, we expect GDP growth of 6.6 percent in the third quarter and 6.5 percent in the fourth quarter. With the economy doing well and the property sector rebounding, we think there is no urgency for the monetary policy stance to be loosened in the second half of this year. Investment growth is likely to slow a bit. But we believe the slowdown will be gradual. Credit growth in the financial sector slowed sharply, but credit growth to the real economy remains strong.

A3: Economic growth may remain resilient. In particular, the rebound in the property sector plays a critical role in the growth cycle. It helps the economy through the fiscal channel, as local government revenue from land sales improves.

While the property market has been resilient, exports also performed well with help from strong global demand. In the second half of 2017, the challenge is to avoid relying too much on the housing market and develop a more sustainable strategy for the housing market.

A4: Structural reforms are critically important to achieve a more sustainable growth model. With an aging population, China needs to come up with a higher productivity growth. This can only be achieved through structural reforms, particularly in the service sector. There is still a lot of potential to be utilized, as a large part of the service sector remains protected with high entry barriers to private investment.

The financial sector will further unleash potential for economic growth as well. The government could further open up the financial sector to foreign investors, allow domestic investors to diversify asset allocation globally, and promote renminbi internationalization.

Aidan Yao, senior emerging Asia economist at AXA Investment Managers

A1: Manufacturing investment rose 5.6 percent in May, recouping some of its lost momentum in April. In addition, retail sales expanded 10.7 percent in the same month.

In May, fixed asset investment growth declined to 8.6 percent from 8.9 percent in April. Industrial production grew 6.7 percent year-on-year, unchanged from April.

A2: The Chinese economy has remained steady after losing some stream in the first quarter. Industrial sectors weakened further due to softening growth in infrastructure and property investment. Manufacturing investment has picked up the slack, with robust consumer spending and exports also providing an offset.

We expect a gradual economic slowdown in the second half of 2017, thanks to policy tightening in the housing market and the financial system.

A3: As far as potential risks are concerned, we have highlighted, for a while, renewed renminbi depreciation, capital outflows and commodity price declines.

Editor's picks
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
主站蜘蛛池模板: 日本在线观看免费看片 | 久久久久国产视频 | 国产影院在线观看 | 国产成人精品视频一区二区不卡 | 华人黄网站大全 | 亚洲欧洲精品在线 | 看片地址| 欧美αv日韩αv另类综合 | 天天色踪合 | 色综合综合 | 国产成人午夜性a一级毛片 国产成人午夜性视频影院 国产成人香蕉久久久久 | 黄色一级视频网站 | 国产不卡一区二区视频免费 | 在线观看一区二区三区视频 | 中文字幕在亚洲第一在线 | 国产美女免费国产 | 97久久天天综合色天天综合色hd | 中文字幕一区婷婷久久 | 亚洲国产情侣一区二区三区 | 国产精品色| 久久久久久免费视频 | 免费一区二区三区免费视频 | 亚洲六月丁香六月婷婷蜜芽 | 成年性羞羞视频免费观看无限 | 99久久香蕉| 成人精品一区二区三区中文字幕 | 免费岛国片 | 国产成人久久777777 | 99精品国产一区二区青青牛奶 | 久久久久久91香蕉国产 | 久久99国产一区二区三区 | 特黄特黄aaaa级毛片免费看 | 一级特黄女人生活片 | 亚洲欧美日产综合在线看 | 久久中文字幕视频 | 国产精品欧美一区二区三区不卡 | 99超级碰碰成人香蕉网 | 在线免费视频你懂的 | 日本aaaa级 | 日本久色| 精品播放 |